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NOAA releases outlook for 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

City News Posted on May 23, 2024

Forecasters with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have released their outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting an above-normal season.

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which spans from June 1 to November 30, is predicted to have an 85% chance of being above-normal, a 10% chance of being near-normal and a 5% chance of below-normal.

NOAA is forecasting a range of 17 to 25 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). Forecasters have a 70% confidence in these ranges.

The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season is expected to have above-normal activity due to a confluence of factors, including near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear, all of which tend to favor tropical storm formation.

For the full report, please go here: NOAA 2024 Atlantic hurricane season outlook.

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